The $360K question about Large Language Models Economics

June 22, 2023
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The $360K question about Large Language Models Economics
The purpose of this article is to educate the reader about how Large Language Models (LLM) pricing works. This is motivated by our conversations with multiple companies using LLMs commercially. We realized in these conversations that LLM economics is often misunderstood, leaving a huge scope for optimization.

Do you realize that doing the same task can take either $ 3500 to do with one model or $1,260,000 with another? This does come at the cost of difference is performance, but is leaves a lot of room in the middle for thinking about what the tradeoff between cost and performance is? Is the task such that I can use something that is cheaper.

We have found companies, time and again, overestimating or underestimating their spend on Large Language Models. So here, we would try to understand the cost of running some of the popular large language models and understand how their pricing works.

ℹ️

The purpose of this blog is not to educate the reader on LLMs or their performances. This is a math-intensive blog focused on understanding LLM pricing. For simplicity, we would not compare the performance across these models.

Summarizing Wikipedia

The sample for pricing analysis

To understand how the pricing for LLMs work, we would be comparing the cost incurred for the same task, that is, to summarize Wikipedia to half of its size.

Details Size of the Task

We would be using some approximations to simplify the calculations and make them easily understandable

Size of the Wikipedia Corpus

  • ~ 6 Million articles in total
  • ~ 750 Words per article
  • ~ 1000 tokens per article

Tokens are sub-parts of words that are not precisely dependent on the start or end of words. It is the unit in which the OpenAI APIs break the input into tokens before they are processed. Tokens can include trailing spaces and even sub-words.

The expected size of the summarized output

For this task, we assume that each article is just getting compressed to half its size for simplicity. Hence the outputs that we are expecting will be as follows:

  • ~6 Million articles
  • ~375 words per summarized article
  • ~500 Tokens per article
Sample Task: Summarising Wikipedia Articles
Sample Task: Summarising Wikipedia Articles

Understanding the costs

Comparing what using different models would cost for this task

Levers of pricing in OpenAI/3rd Party APIs

OpenAI and other 3rd party APIs usually charge based on two levers; if you want to infer using their APIs

Input Cost

This cost depends on the number of tokens (explained above) passed as context/prompt/instruction to the API.

Output Cost

It is cost based on the number of tokens the API returns as a response.

For a task like summarization, since you need to pass the entire document or excerpt to be summarized to the model, the number of tokens that are part of the prompt can become significant, hence the input cost.

Basis of the cost incurred with self-hosted models

With self-hosted models, the user needs to manage/provision the machine that is needed to run the model. Though it may include the cost of managing these resources, the pricing is relatively easy to understand since it is just based on the running cost of the machine (usually what is charged by the cloud providers, unless you have your own on-prem cluster)

Cost of Machine

Cost of provisioning the required machine to run/host the model. Since most of these larger models are larger than what can be run on a laptop or a single local device, using a cloud provider for these machines is the most common.

Cloud providers give out these instances, though users might face GPU availability issues since these models require GPU.

AWS instances costs

Google Cloud Instance costs

Microsoft Azure Instance costs

Spot instances

Cloud providers give their spare capacity for a cost that is 40-90% cheaper than the on-demand instances

Comparing cost of the different models

GPT 4 - 8K context length

Unit Costs

INPUT COST (/MN TOKENS) OUTPUT COST (/MN TOKENS)
$30 $60

Cost Formula

Cost = No. Of Tokens ( Per 1000 Articles)  X  No. of Articles (In 1000s) X Unit Cost (Per 1 Mn Tokens)

Cost of Input

1K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $30 (/Mn tokens) = $180,000

Cost of Output

0.5 K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $60 (/Mn tokens) = $180,000

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $360,000

GPT 4 - 32K context length

Unit Costs

INPUT COST (/MN TOKENS) OUTPUT COST (/MN TOKENS)
$60 $120

Input Cost (/Mn Tokens)Output Cost (/Mn Tokens)$60$120

Cost Formula

Cost = No. Of Tokens ( Per 1000 Articles)  X  No. of Articles (In 1000s) X Unit Cost (Per 1 Mn Tokens)

Cost of Input

1K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $60 (/Mn tokens) = $360,000

Cost of Output

0.5 K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $120 (/Mn tokens) = $360,000

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $720,000

Anthropic Claude V1

Unit Costs

INPUT COST (/MN TOKENS) OUTPUT COST (/MN TOKENS)
$11 $32

Cost Formula

Cost = No. of Tokens ( Per 1000 Articles)  X  No. of Articles (In 1000s) X Unit Cost (Per 1 Mn Tokens)

Cost of Input

1K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $11 (/Mn tokens) = $66,000

Cost of Output

0.5 K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $60 (/Mn tokens) = $96,000

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $162,000

InstructGPT - DaVinci

Unit Costs

INPUT COST (/MN TOKENS) OUTPUT COST (/MN TOKENS)
$20 $20

Cost Formula

Cost = No. Of Tokens ( Per 1000 Articles)  X  No. of Articles (In 1000s) X Unit Cost (Per 1 Mn Tokens)

Cost of Input

1K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $20 (/Mn tokens) = $120,000

Cost of Output

0.5 K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $20 (/Mn tokens) = $60,000

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $180,000

Curie

Unit Costs

INPUT COST (/MN TOKENS) OUTPUT COST (/MN TOKENS)
$2 $2

Cost Formula

Cost = No. Of Tokens ( Per 1000 Articles)  X  No. of Articles (In 1000s) X Unit Cost (Per 1 Mn Tokens)

Cost of Input

1K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $2 (/Mn tokens) = $12,000

Cost of Output

0.5 K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $60 (/Mn tokens) = $6,000

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $18,000

Self-Hosted 7B Model

Unit Costs

COST OF RUNNING MACHINE (/HR FOR SPOT A100-80GB)
$10

Cost of running Machine (/Hr for Spot A100-80Gb)$10

Cost Formula

Cost = No. of Tokens ( Per 1000 Articles)  X  No. of Articles (In 1000s) X Unit Cost (Per 1 Mn Tokens)

Cost of Input

1K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $30 (/Mn tokens) = $180,000

Cost of Output

0.5 K (tokens/article) X 6,000K (articles) X $60 (/Mn tokens) = $180,000

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $360,000

Fine Tuning Models

Most use cases that enterprises have to need them to fine-tune models specific to their own data and on particular tasks. Multiple companies have reported that fine-tuned open source models are at par or sometimes even better than 3rd party APIs like OpenAI on the specific task.

Fine Tuned DaVinci

Cost of Summarisation with fine Tuned DaVinci Model

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $1,260,000

Fine Tuned Curie

Cost of Summarisation with fine Tuned Curie Model

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $126,000

Self Hosted, Fine Tuned, 7B Model

Cost of Summarisation with Self Hosted, Fine Tuned, 7B Model

Total Cost

Input Cost + Output Cost

= $126,000

Putting it all together

PRETRAINED / FINE TUNED MODEL NAME PARAMS* FINE TUNING COST ($) INPUT COST ($) OUTPUT COST ($) TOTAL COST ($)
Pretrained GPT-4 32K 1 Tn + NA 360k 360k 720k
GPT-4 8K 1 Tn + NA 180k 180k 360k
DaVinci 175 Bn NA 120k 60k 180k
Claude v1 52 Bn NA 66k 96k 162k
Curie 13 Bn NA 12k 6k 18k
Self-hosted 7B 7 Bn NA 350 1750 2.1k
Fine Tuned DaVinci 175 Bn 180k 720k 360k 1.26M
Curie 13 Bn 18k 72k 36k 126k
Self-hosted 7B 7 Bn 1400 350 1750 3.5k

Things to notice from the pricing:

  1. DaVinci and Curie Models are ~7X more expensive if you are fine-tuning it on your use case
  2. Cost increases with an increase in context window by ~2X
  3. Cost of using the model Increases with an increase in the number of params of the model

Effect of fine-tuning on performance

We use the following benchmark to analyze the effect of fine-tuning of models on the performance of the models. It is interesting to notice that:

  1. Lower parameter models can also perform better than larger models when fine-tuned for a particular use case.
  2. Significant cost saving is possible without harming the performance much if the right trade-off is established between cost and performance.

Task   TypeBest   6B/7B OOTB Model     Few-shotMoveLM   7B     Zero-shotGPT-3.5   Turbo     Zero-shotGPT-3.5   Turbo     Few-shotGPT-4     Zero-shotGPT-4     Few-shotRelevance   - internal dataset0.330.930.840.840.920.95Extraction   - structured output for queries0.380.980.220.720.380.73Reasoning   - custom triggering0.620.930.870.880.90.88Classification   - domain of user query0.210.790.60.730.70.76Extraction   - structured output from entity typing0.830.870.90.890.890.89

TASK TYPE BEST 6B/7B OOTB MODEL FEW-SHOT MOVELM 7B ZERO-SHOT GPT-3.5 TURBO ZERO-SHOT GPT-3.5 TURBO FEW-SHOT GPT-4 ZERO-SHOT GPT-4 FEW-SHOT
Relevance - internal dataset 0.33 0.93 0.84 0.84 0.92 0.95
Extraction - structured output for queries 0.38 0.98 0.22 0.72 0.38 0.73
Reasoning - custom triggering 0.62 0.93 0.87 0.88 0.9 0.88
Classification - domain of user query 0.21 0.79 0.6 0.73 0.7 0.76
Extraction - structured output from entity typing 0.83 0.87 0.9 0.89 0.89 0.89

What We Are Doing

TrueFoundry believes the future of LLMs is the co-existence of open-source and commercial LLMs within the same application!

We believe in a state of applications where the easier tasks are handled by lightweight open-source LLMs, whereas the more complex tasks or the ones that require distinct capabilities (e.g., web search, API calls, etc.), which are only offered by Closed source commercial LLMs can be delegated to them.

If you are using OpenAI

We help reduce the number of tokens sent to OpenAI APIs. Why we decided to work on this because:

  1. We noticed more than half the cost was processing context / prompt tokens.
  2. All words are not necessary. LLMs are great at working with incomplete sentences.

Hence TrueFoundry is building a compression API to save OpenAI cost by ~30%.

Compression in OpenAI
Compression in OpenAI

If you want to use Open Source LLMs

We simplify running these models within your own infrastructure through our following offerings:

  1. Model Catalogue: Of open source LLMs- optimized for inference & fine-tuning.  
  2. Drop-in APIs: These can be directly swapped for the HuggingFace & OpenAI APIs you already run in your applications.
  3. Cost Optimisation: Across-cloud on K8s by leveraging your cloud credits or budget.
TrueFoundry's Open Source LLM

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